Calculate the scoreline with the highest expected SuperBru points.
In the fantasy sports game SuperBru, you score points
depending on how well you predict the score of a game, as governed by
these rules.
This tool takes user-inputted xG values to estimate the probabilities of different scorelines. This is done by modelling the scoring of goals with a Poisson distribution.
The best prediction for each combination of home and away xG is shown in the plot below. Curiously, no draw other than 0-0 is ever the best
Superbru prediction. This stems from the fact that draws have fewer scorelines that are considered 'close' by the SuperBru scoring system than wins have.
